Monday, December 8, 2014

California: Revenues for Infrastructure




Revenues for Infrastructure

1.       Repatriation Tax Holiday to create federal infrastructure bank
2.       Taxing State Oil Production on non-coastal fields in manner similar to Alaska
3.       Using those funds to pay for infrastructure and investment in UC system, particularly R&D, STEM and Project Management

       California has benefited from having one of the strongest economies in the world.  Within the past 25 years, our GDP as a State has exceeded China’s and as a country our State would rival France and Italy in terms of GDP.  There is no question that California, needs to continue to prioritize its economy to remain competitive and to be able to underwrite the other social benefits that augment the unrivaled natural territory of California.  Multi-culturalism is a challenge for California, but with the enactment of sound policy it becomes a strength that guarantee our geographical territory and its people’s dominant position in the world for centuries to come.  The balance of global power is shifting from London/New York to Beijing/Los Angeles and by preparing to be the leader of the Pacific Rim Empire Californians can enjoy a prosperous position as Global Leaders.  Our future success demands replacing ideology with empiricism and aggressively using the leverage of our State’s power to negotiate solvent, profitable and prosperous policies that improve standards of living in a fair and inclusive manner.  If Californians can work across partisan lines and create a solidified voting bloc in Congress and Senate, set a tone of bi-partisan cooperation, Californians can save the United States of America with responsible leadership that improves our finances, grows the economy, creates quality jobs, while improving standards of living.  The State of California can raise the revenues necessary for infrastructure and Universities by coordinating efforts to pass legislation that would use a Repatriation Tax Holiday to fund and create a federal infrastructure bank, pass a state oil and gas production tax to raise state revenues that would be used to pay interest and debts along with other investments that will improve California.
        The Congressional and Senatorial representatives of California can form a united voting block to push for a Repatriation Tax holiday that would be used to capitalize a federal infrastructure bank.  With the UC system, Stanford, USC and other high quality schools producing America’s brightest minds, California has been a center of innovation, with dot coms often associated with San Francisco, Software and tech associated with Silicon Valley, entertainment, media and advertising associated with Los Angeles and biotech and military tech associated with San Diego.  Many of these companies could benefit from a repatriation tax holiday that would allow these firms to bring money that is offshores in foreign subsidiaries to the United States.  The plan, endorsed by Bill Clinton, the Metropolitan Policy Program and Brookings would establish “a national infrastructure bank, initially capitalized at around $25 billion dollars.  This appropriation would be directly offset through the authorization of a one-time tax reduction on repatriated corporate profits, temporarily decreasing the standard corporate tax rate to approximately 10 percent, and capped at $500 million dollars per firm.”  With $25 billion in capitalization, the bank could potentially provide $250 billion in lending power that would yield returns with interest and principal payments from solvent states, counties and municipalities that would have a “multiplier effect” on the repatriated funds.    As the amount in the bank grows, the amount that could be lent responsibly would also grow providing further gains for the treasury, our nation’s infrastructure and the work force.  While the lending rates would need to maintain market competitiveness, being regulated and handled by the Federal Government they can offer a more predictable and affordable lending rate.  Legislative provisions offering direct investment form the Federal Reserve could create additional avenues of growth with appropriate monitoring for inflation and project management to ensure the funds provided are translating to needed and completed infrastructure projects.  Long-term costs of the expatriation would be offset and yield a net return of conservatively 9 billion dollars, from the projected returns of interest rates, increasing returns to the treasury in the near and long-term with payroll taxes and opened opportunities for investment and taxable transactions created by the infrastructure projects that would be funded.[i]
     Covering the costs of borrowing from the Infrastructure bank and paying down debts already on the books would require California to create new revenues and allocate budgets strategically to grow future treasury revenues.  The broad-based tax system for the future and other revenue-related proposals in The Think Long Committee’s “A Blueprint to Renew California” are going to synchronize synergistically with added revenues created by adopting Oil and Gas production Taxes similar to Alaska and opening up drilling in all non-coastal proven oil reserves.   The Think Long Committee outlines a plan to create a positive business environment for job creation, reduce the personal income tax across the board, fund education by an additional $5 billion, provide $2.5 billion to California’s Universities, empower county governments and reduce public safety costs by providing 1.5 billion in additional funding, provide block grants to California cities, start paying down the State’s “wall of debt” and stabilizing the boom-and-bust budget cycle, give Californians real power to make government accountable, and improve the process for making long-term economic policy.   To do this, the committee proposes empowering local government and regions in a process of devolution, reducing the sluggish drag of capitol politics and bureaucracy while allowing for the more responsive and efficient powers of local government.  Cities and counties know the infrastructure projects that need to be prioritized, and this process can help free up funding to accomplish these projects.  Many Americans do not mind government spending when the dollars are being used appropriately, the problem is that governments tend to shield themselves from criticism by using internal mechanisms of oversight that can conceal systemic problems.  The Long Committees proposal to create a “citizens council for government accountability,” it is an excellent exercise in democracy that can improve the functionality of our government. The proposal to create a broad-based tax system for the future, that reduces personal and corporate income taxes, places sales taxes on services but reduces sales taxes on goods while reducing personal income tax deductions makes a tremendous amount of fiscal sense that could gain bi-partisan support.  Budget and Oversight, Initiative, K-12 education reform and pension and health benefit reform add value to job creation, higher education and economic growth.  With an appropriately educated work force and our state’s fiscal house in order, Californian companies and citizens will be able to prosperously enjoy the world’s finest infrastructure for decades.[ii]
              In this era, Infrastructure means more than just roads and dams.  Modern Infrastructure also includes information infrastructure and smart energy grids in addition to traditional utilities, aqueducts and freeways.  A savvy tax policy is going to do more than simply pay for revenues to offset borrowing costs or impose pay as you go reforms, it is going to generate revenues for a treasury fund that will be reinvested to create a long-term advantage for Californians in the future’s economy.  
One sure way to boost a lackluster economy is in the tried and true fields of energy.  With 2.98 billion barrels of proven oil reserves[iii] and estimates as high as 15 billion barrels of recoverable oil[iv], California has massive oil reserves.  Even at today’s low oil prices of around 70 dollars per barrel[v], there is no less than 210 billion dollars sitting in proven oil reserves and as much as 1.05 trillion dollars in estimated total oil reserves.  The long-term futures on oil are uncertain as renewable forms of energy continue to advance, but oil prices are currently at a low, and have been as high as 100 dollars per barrel recently.  Most of our vehicles; however, continue to use gasoline and significant portions of our energy comes from oil and natural gas, the time to turn proven reserves into cash is now.  California’s Government has a responsibility to run a hard bargain to be sure that our State is getting a fair return for the exploitation of its resources. 
While environmentalists have long prevented the expanse of Oil Drilling in California, a shifting political climate that is increasingly economic focused, combined with increasing fuel efficiency and cleaner means of extraction, conducted with a compromise to phase out all off-shore drilling could create the votes to open up the vast oil reserves of the San Joaquin Basin and other major proven fields away from California’s coast line.  By investing a portion of the generated funds in forest reserves, vulnerable habitat studies and preservation, environmental interests could be advanced.  Portions of the oil revenues could also be invested in research, development, implementation and regulatory oversight providing cleaner means of extraction, converting fossil fuels to energy, and energy efficiency along with investments to increase the competitiveness of renewable fuel resources.  Any bargain would stipulate a significant number of the jobs created to be provided to long-time California residents and include state investment in training programs geared towards preparing this workforce. 
Current proposals to tax oil revenues have been too low, I would recommend looking to Alaska’s Oil and Gas Production Tax as a model for taxation.  Taxing 25% of production value, and .4% progressive tax added for each additional dollar of production tax value, with incentives for well exploration and university donations increased, Alaska’s tax revenues increased by 47%![vi]  Long term, such a tax could yield an excess of $250,000,000,000 for California’s State Treasury.  Now, California, with its larger and more diversified economy may not see the same % increase, but such a bold tax policy in combination of opening access to proven oil reserves and exploration of future reserves would substantially boost state revenues.  The challenge is in protecting those revenues from public interest groups and to re-invest them in those programs and people that will provide a real return for California now and in the future. 
            With the Legalization of Marijuana in Washington and Colorado there is a growing data set to look at in considering whether or not California should move from a medical marijuana approach towards legalization.  Empirically speaking, legalization, without much surprise is looking more and more to be the better policy.  In Colorado they used a 2.9% sales and retail tax, 10% retail marijuana special sales tax, 15% marijuana excise tax, and retail/medical marijuana application and license fees to generate over $45.2 million dollars that largely went to counties, but also to state and local governing entities.  In the first four months of legalization, the City of Denver saw a 5.6% drop in violent crime and a drop in property crime at around 11.4%.[1]  While there is a need for more in depth studies it seems that gateway drug theories confuse correlation with causation, and that making popular activities such as marijuana illegal creates resentment towards the letter of the Law, and discrimination against marijuana users then pushes them into economic niches that have been criminalized by a predatory police, fine and incarcerate business model for government. 
               Clearly, marijuana has some medical benefits and is often less dangerous or harmful in terms of side effects than FDA approved chemical substances.  While medical marijuana usage may increase slightly, with estimates as high as 4%-5%,[2] by investing portions of tax revenues into preventive education and resources for treatment, increases in long-term usage could be nominal or even reduced, while the costs of drug usage on society, such as high incarceration rates and severe human rights issues relating to exposure, policing and incarceration practices, could be financially offset  as incarceration and policing costs drop and revenues become available from the taxes on legal marijuana transactions.  Ending the prohibition against marijuana and allowing for it to be a matter of personal choice and responsibility fits with notions of higher law that center around the spirit of liberty.  California already makes more than $100 million dollars from permits, licenses and taxes on medical marijuana, if our State legalized and taxed all marijuana sales to individuals whose brains have reached maturity in a manner similar to alcohol, it would reap even more revenues to invest in our State and our people.
      While maintaining our freeways, highways, roads, bridges, tunnels and dams is necessary, irrigation, desalination plants, high-speed rail and subways are a high priority, with taxes from increased oil drilling California can fund a state-wide smart energy grid and provide high-speed wireless internet free of charge across all metropolitan areas.  These projects would create jobs, obviously, but also create a foundation for a diversified economy to thrive.  Reducing traffic, increasing the ease of transit both in terms of people and cargo, but also information and energy, would provide for impressive sustainable growth that would bolster California’s leadership edge in future decades.
     Fully-capitalizing on the abundant revenues that can be generated and funds that can be accessed by the above proposals requires their reinvestment in areas that will create sustainable and robust economic growth.  One of the largest problems for California is its public elementary, middle and high-school education programs.  California spends enough on its education and has plenty of good teachers; however, the education system is challenged by large non-English speaking demographics and obstacles to replacing bad teachers.  By opening up the opportunity for vouchers to be applied to private educations meeting basic state monitored standards of curriculum and performance, competitive dynamics would improve performance for both private and public schools.  Providing a voucher program would increase choices for parents, help improve revenues for religious organizations and alleviate an over-burdened public school system by reducing class sizes and providing for greater job fluidity for teachers.  By giving parents the option of putting their children in a private school in areas where public schools have a bad reputation, it creates choice which is generally equated with liberty and puts pressure on poor performing school districts to either improve or loose.  
                Faith and religion provide additional dividends to society and our state, providing more efficient means of short-term support, more responsive and ethical, personalized help unburdened by the rigidness of bureaucratic regulations and state protocols, a community of support centered around the Universal Value of reciprocation, or doing unto others as you would have done unto you and the fortitude that only faith in a higher power can offer.  In districts where public schools are overcrowded and poor performing, more ambitious parents and promising children would be afforded the ability to simply transfer to a private school, supporting the meritocratic development necessary for a thriving capitalist system where the workers and owners can both thrive in parallel to each other, in an upward financial trajectory where role reversals are common, social status fluid and merit rewarded.              
Transforming diversity into strength requires effective bilingual education alternatives that allow for future generations to have an advantage in the workplace, go out into the world and pursue financially favorable contracts for California based businesses and act as diplomats for our State, while providing for an edge in an increasingly globalized reality.  California can develop a core of business professionals trained to support profitable contracts providing goods and services to Foreign Markets from California-based companies in a bid to increase exports.  College populations need to be more closely aligned with the population as it relates to demographics and there is a real need to improve the link between education and the job market.  California could graduate more highly qualified students by offering more merit based grants that cover the costs of education and living expenses, and the federal government should consider reducing the education costs student loans will cover but increase the allowable amounts for living expenses to entice more students to continue academic work.  Oil companies and other areas of enterprise would gladly put money into programs that produce the skilled workforces they are going to need to maintain sustainable and valued operations.  Every company or business owner has a vested interest in a healthy and skilled workforce.  Doing this affordably and efficiently is key so that time and financial resources can be freed up for productive work and profitable monetary activities.
      Education and STEM investments[vii]; however, are not enough, the liberal arts, social sciences and the humanities continue to create strong citizens while literature and arts help add meaning to our existence and civilization.  The liberal arts teach us how to think and communicate, providing the necessary context and skills to be successful in core Science, Technology, Engineering and Math.[viii] A successful California requires a cohesive Californian Identity that develops an ethos of economic liberty, promoting virtues of health, leadership, entrepreneurship, work ethic, study, creativity, individuality and diversity.  Arts and Letters programs can find new value by honing their crafts and channeling talents to advance these virtues.  Philosophically, Realism, needs to be balanced by optimism, ideals need to be balanced by empiricism, and faith needs to be balanced by science.  Balanced properly, diversity can become strength and source of resilience when developed under a multi-cultural pervasive morality of compassion and understanding.  The Arts and humanities help create the social cohesiveness pre-requisite to the flourishing sciences and economies that facilitate higher standards of living.  In conclusion, the wise investment of funds created by a repatriation tax holiday, invested into a federal infrastructure bank, augmented by increasing state revenues from a broad based tax system for the future, and an oil and gas production tax will bolster the strength of the thriving civilization centered in California, making California capable of maintaining its competitive edge as it leads us towards the future. Universities are centers of innovation, knowledge management, job training, research and development that can offset under-investment in these areas by corporations. 
A disproportionate number of the wealthy[ix], venture capital deals (more than 7 times as much in our nearest competitor, New York)[x], and many of the most intelligent live in California because they understand the latent value of the territory and its people.  Our university system is by far the world’s greatest public university system, and private universities such as Stanford, USC and the Jesuit schools add a right hook to the left jab of California’s collective brain strength.  The research in academia carries over to the business sector, and research conducted on colleges become blueprints for billion dollar companies, high paying jobs and highly valued products and services that create a snowball effect for the State’s treasury.  Maintaining it, however, requires creating long-term revenues and short-term investments in infrastructure, energy, science and the arts.  Largely, legislatures need to prioritize funding programs that recruit and train a core of administrators, project managers, engineers and workers capable of responsibly achieving the above mentioned plan.



[1] “Regulated Marijuana Sales in Colorado creating jobs, tax revenue without increasing crime.” Marijuana Policy Project. (www.mpp.org) © 08/28/2014
[2] “Ending the Drug Wars” Report of the LSE Expert Group on the Economics of Drug Policy.  May 2014




[i] “Invest But Reform: Establish a National Infrastructure Bank Capitalized by a Repatriation Tax Holiday” Rubert Puentes, Joseph Kane, and Patrick Sabol.  The Brookings Institute. 
[ii] “A Blueprint to Renew California: Report and Recommendations Presented by the Think Long Committee For California.” Nicolas Berggruen Institute.” 
[iii] “US Crude Oil and Natural Gas Proved Reserves, 2012” Independent Statistics & Analysis U.S. Energy Information Administration, U.S. Department of Energy.  www.eia.gov/naturalgas/crudeoilreserves/pdf/uscrudeoil.pdf
[iv] “California could be next oil boom state.” Steve Hargreaves for CNN Money. 01/15/2013 http://money.cnn.com/2013/01/14/news/economy/california-oil-boom/
[v] Energy & Oil Prices, Crude Oil & Natural Gas, www.bloomberg.com/energy
[vi] “Oil and Gas Severance Taxes: States Work to Alleviate Fiscal Pressures Amid the Natural Gas Boom,” Jacquelyn Pless.  National Conference of State Legislatures. February 2012.
[vii] STEM Integration in K-12 Education Margaret Honey, Greg Pearson, and Heidi Schweingruber. Committee on STEM Education; National Academy of Engineering; National Research Council.
[viii] “The Value of a Liberal Arts Education,” Galan M Janeksela, West Virginia University Institute of Technology, WV
[ix] “Where The Rich Live in America: Connecticut, California And Virginia Top the List” by Abram Brown. Forbes.  02/13/2013 www.forbes.com/sites/abrambrown/2013/02/12/where-the-rich-live-in-america-conneticut-california-and-virginia-top-the-list/
[x] “Venture Capital Trends by State, Industry” by Kate Taylor (www.entrepreneur.com/article/228709)


0 Comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to Post Comments [Atom]

<< Home